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BZH (long) - Bullish Stochastics, Volume, and Price Movement
Larry Swing - July 20, 2006


Jul 20, 2006 - The entire homebuilding sector has been under siege for months; most days have brought lower prices, and many stocks are now off their highs by more than 50%....

Beazer Homes USA Inc. (BZH) designs, builds, and sells single-family homes primarily in the USA.


Key Information:

 

Fundamental:

Sector:  Industrial Goods

Industry:  Residential Construction


Liquidity:

Market Capitalization:  $1.62 billion

Average daily volume (3-month): 1.3 million shares

Closing Stock Price: $40.18


Risk Proxies:

52-week high / 52-week low:  2.22

Beta: 2.64

Debt/Equity: 0.96

Profitable:  Yes


Valuation:

Price/Sales:  0.30

Price/Book:  1.03

Price/Earnings:  4.04

Price/2007 Analyst Earnings Estimates: 5.41


Forecast Horizon:  1 week to 1 month

Technical Analysis

 

The entire homebuilding sector has been under siege for months; most days have brought lower prices, and many stocks are now off their highs by more than 50%.


On the backs of positive fed comments, BZH, like most homebuilders, is now showing signs that a short-term reversal may occur:

  • Volume has recently been bullish
  • The stock staged a strong rally on Wednesday
  • The fast stochastic indicator crossed above the slow stochastic indicator in oversold territory

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Key Levels


Buy:  Market

We are technically bullish on the stock


Stop loss:  36.97

Slightly below support


Target:  46.97

Slightly below resistance


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