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AKAM (long) - Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout
Larry Swing - Aug 1, 2006


Aug 1, 2006 - The stock rose strongly and on high volume in response to earnings... It also broke out of an ascending triangle pattern...

Akamai Technologies, Inc. (AKAM) provides services for the delivery of content and business processes over the internet.


Key Information:

 

Fundamental:

Sector:  Technology

Industry:  Internet Software & Services


Liquidity:

Market Capitalization:  $6.14 billion

Average daily volume (3-month): 4.2 million shares

Closing Stock Price: $39.63

 

Risk Proxies:

52-week high / 52-week low:  3.00

Beta (3-month):  3.34

Debt/Equity:  0.288

Profitable:  Yes


Note:  This stock is risky!  If you choose to trade it, please use appropriate position sizing.


Valuation:

Price/Sales:  17.56

Price/Book:  8.85

Price/Earnings:  20.84

Price/2008 Analyst Earnings Estimates: 38.85


Forecast Horizon: 1 month


Technical Analysis

 

We are technically bullish on AKAM:

  • The stock rose strongly and on high volume following an earnings announcement (see Signal and Prtamani, 2001)
  • The stock broke out of an ascending triangle pattern

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Reference

Pritamani, Mahesh, and Vijay Singal, "Return predictability following large price changes and information releases" Journal of Banking and Finance, April 2001, 25(4), pp.631-656.


Key Levels


Buy:  Market

We are technically bullish on the stock


Stop Loss: 36.44

Slightly below the highs of the ascending triangle pattern


Target:  The sooner of 46.99, or a 1-month hold

46.99 is slightly below the technical target of the ascending triangle ( = C-B+A). One month is the time over which the technical formations we have identified have predictive power


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