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Swing Trading Market Update


Weekly Market Update

by Shay Horowitz - March 6, 2006


SHOGUN TRADING STRATEGY
DAILY ANALYSIS FOR 03/06/06

(Use this chart and commentary to plan your trades. The goal is to trade with the market, never against it. This chart will show our expectation, projection and commentary. This is a very important tool for you.)

SHORT TERM ANALYSIS

Another very choppy day.

LONG TERM ANALYSIS

The market was looking for a direction all week last week with one of the most choppy displays we have seen yet. Be careful.

 

TRADING CONDITIONS

The market is looking for a direction here. For the past month, we have been going absolutely sideways between the 1635 support on the NDX and the 1710 resistance. The market is doing the two step with two steps forward and one step back. Almost every day, the market is switching directions, which makes for a very choppy market.

We hope that you have listened to our constant warnings about the danger of swing trading a choppy market, it would have saved you a lot of money. We have had some great trades in the last week, such as ELN and KG, but the rest of the market was choppy.

You, basically, have two choices when the market gets choppy:

1. You can sit on your hands, wait for it to decide on a direction. This is the more conservative approach, but it requires much patience.

2. You can trade the choppy market, but you have to adjust your trading and expect to feel some pain. Choppy markets do just that, they chop you up. That means quicker profits and quicker losses. It means quick profits turning into small losses and back to quick profits. You must be very careful when trading a choppy market, adhere to your stops and reduce your trade size significantly.

We hope to see the market break out of this tight range and start moving with more momentum soon. Remember that momentum is conviction and the market is just not convinced right now.

Hope this helps,


Shay Horowitz - ShogunTrading



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