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FRO (long) - Stochastic Reversal
Larry Swing - March 20, 2006


Frontline, Ltd. (FRO) owns and operates oil tankers.


Key Information:

 

Fundamental:

Sector:  Services

Industry:  Shipping


Liquidity:

Market Capitalization:  $2.68 billion

Average daily volume (3-month): 753 thousand shares

Closing Stock Price: $35.81


Risk Proxies:

52-week high / 52-week low:  1.51

Beta (3-month): 2.37

Debt/Equity: 4.34

Profitable:  Yes


Valuation:

Price/Sales:  1.77

Price/Book:  3.75

Price/Earnings:  4.42

Price/2007 Analyst Earnings Estimates: 24.36


Analysis

 

FRO has been in a decline for the past year and a half.  We aren't expecting a major trend change.  However, we do expect the stock to perform well in the short-term; Friday was marked by several bullish signals:

  • The fast stochastic indicator crossed above the slow stochastic indicator while in oversold territory
  • The stock gapped up, and closed near the highs
  • Volume was fairly high

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Key Levels


Buy:  Market

The stochastic crossover occurred


Stop loss: 34.47

Slightly below the recent lows


Target:  38.99

Slightly below the highs of a gap



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