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AAPL (long) - Stochastic Reversal
Larry Swing - March 30, 2006


Apple Computer Inc. (AAPL) designs, produces, and sells personal computers and iPods, and related services, software, and peripherals.


Key Information:

 

Fundamental:

Sector:  Technology

Industry:  Personal Computers


Liquidity:

Market Capitalization:  $52.9 billion

Average daily volume (3-month): 36 million shares

Closing Stock Price: $62.33


Risk Proxies:

52-week high / 52-week low:  2.61

Beta: 1.42

Debt/Equity: 0

Profitable:  Yes


Valuation:

Price/Sales:  3.08

Price/Book:  5.92

Price/Earnings:  33.62

Price/2007 Analyst Earnings Estimates: 23.79


Analysis

 

AAPL shareholders have had a rough couple of months.  The stock is now done more than 25% from January highs.  The good news is that Wednesday may have marked a low - at least for the near term; we believe that the stock is set for a rally:

  • The stock gapped up and closed near the highs of the day on Wednesday on high volume
  • The fast stochastic crossed above the slow stochastic in oversold territory

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Key Levels


Buy:  Market

The stock has issued several bullish signals


Stop loss: 57.49

Slightly below Wednesday's lows


Target:  72.49

Slightly below the highs of February



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